Oscar 2011 Predictions (Part II)

I'm having a bit of a Ford Coppola moment; creating a follow up that promises to be as good as, or better than, the first. I could be getting ahead of myself, but with only a week until the Oscars 2011 the mood is tense. Let’s begin, or continue, whichever way you want to look at it...

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BEST DIRECTING

Arguably the most meaningful award to those at the helm of movie making, the competing choices include Black Swan, True Grit, The King's Speech, The Social Network and The Fighter. It's likely the panel will sway towards The King's Speech and even in the direction of The Social Network, as they seem to be getting most of the pre-Oscar awards, not to mention they often go with the trend of the Best Actor (should Firth emerge victorious). But, in true rebellious fashion, I believe there is only one winner; the brilliant Darren Aronofsky. His direction for Black Swan is simply beautiful and I really admire the techniques he uses as a film maker. His hand held, indie style is something to be adored, which make his films a visual feast to watch. Outstanding.

MY WINNER : Darren Aronofsky (Black Swan)

PROBABLE WINNER : David Fincher (The Social Network)/Aronofsky (Black Swan)

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BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

Personally there is no contest here. The fact that the Coen Brothers have remained faithful to the original Portis novel, as well as created something different and individual to the John Wayne picture of the same name. However, critical appraisal appears to be heading to Facebook story scriber; Aaron Sorkin, where his scripting prowess has propelled him to the summit of the 'most desired writers' pile.

MY WINNER : Joel & Ethan Coen (True Grit)

PROBABLE WINNER : Aaron Sorkin (The Social Network)

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BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Again, the choice seems somewhat obvious (to me anyway). Chris Nolan's high concept and mightily ambitious script for Inception beats everything else hands down. What's most refreshing is that the biggest film of 2010 is not, I repeat not a remake/reimagining/revamp or sequel. The nearest contender is probably The King's Speech, but I only foresee one outcome.

MY WINNER : Christopher Nolan (Inception)

PROBABLE WINNER : Christopher Nolan (Inception)/David Seidler (The King's Speech)